by His Grace The Devil
Note: I disagree with His Grace. We can all agree that the Tories are crap, and for the reasons he gives. However, there is an abiding hatred of Labour as the party of English destruction. I voted UKIP in the Police Commissioner election. I’d vote UKIP if there were a bye-election tomorrow in my constituency. I will vote UKIP in the European and council elections – I always do. I send my Conservative MP nasty e-mails about once a week. He’s even stopped replying to them. But I know I’ll vote Conservative in the general election – and it doesn’t matter how often I say I won’t. I’ll get to the day, and then ask if I really want Labour back. It doesn’t matter how awful the Cameron Government is between now and then. I don’t think I’m alone in this.
Add to this the following: (1) the disinclination of many Moslems to vote for a party led by a Jew, even after his nose job, and despite his lefty atheism; (2) the general apathy of non-white voters; (3) the probability that a Tory/SNP deal will pass a redistribution bill to cut the number of Labour constituencies; (4) a strong SNP performance in Scotland; (5) a LibDem meltdown.
I predict a big Conservative win in England, if on a lowish turnout. This should be enough to give an overall majority in the Commons. Independence for Scotland will then smash Labour for good – which will be our opportunity to stop voting Tory in general elections. Until then, Mr Cameron has every reason to look smug. SIG
This is the main problem with “austerity” In an analysis of a Paul Goodman article—which speculates that the next General Election will be won by Ed “Goggle-Eyes” Miliband’s Labour Party—Iain Dale presents this opinion on Ed Balls.
Ed Balls has developed into a formidable politician in many ways, but as long as he stays Shadow Chancellor the Tory message of “Would you want to let them do it over again?” remains a very powerful one.
Unfortunately it does not, and here’s why: the British people have, largely, not accepted that the Labour government were a total bloody disaster—especially economically.
Quite simply because the British people have not seen any real bad effects from Labour’s policies—and those adverse affects that they have experienced they associate with the Tories (or the Coalition).
The majority of the public associate Labour with generous benefits and welfare payments; while those of us who are political anoraks may understand that the price of this largesse is a massive public debt, the vast majority of the public simply don’t care.
As far as they are concerned, it doesn’t matter that debt repayments are bigger than the education budget; as far as they are concerned, the government runs on magic money that falls from the sky.
The only real warnings about massive debt that the MSM has seen fit to publicise are the riots in Greece—but these are too far away for most people to appreciate that it is even possible for the same to happen here.
And the only pain that people in this country have felt is from the Coalition: as far as the British people are concerned, it is Cameron and his merry men who are raising taxes, slicing benefits and enforcing general cuts.
Because the dire warnings on government debt have failed—from most people’s perspective—to materialise into real problems, they feel like they’ve been hoodwinked.
Increasingly, the Labour government’s rule is starting to look like the Golden Years to many and, as such, they are likely to welcome Miliband and his boys back with open arms.
As such, the argument of “Would you want to let them do it over again?” actually cuts very little ice: indeed, the reaction from the majority of people is likely to be “yes, please!”
Furthermore, the Tories have not only utterly failed to make their case for the cuts (such as they are), but they have also reneged on almost all of their promises regarding reductions in regulation: combined with their persecution of corporations, this means that the Coalition do not even have the backing of the business world.
And, needless to say, their about-face regarding the re-instatement of our civil liberties has lost them any possible support from those of a liberal bent—let alone libertarians.
In general, the Coalition are doomed at the next election simply because they have managed to piss off just about every bunch of people in the country. And it is impossible to win a General Election when nobody supports you.
The Coalition have failed to significantly cut the deficit (let alone the debt), they have failed to keep their promises on civil liberties; most significantly, however, they have failed to create a coherent narrative.
And that last is the main reason why they will fail to win the next election.